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Half of Afghan population living in districts outside

Details: Providing metrics adjusted for population is valuable, particularly given the varying size of Afghan districts. For example, although we assess that more districts are contested than government controlled, the districts that the government controls are more populous; about three million more Afghans reside in a government controlled district than a …

› Verified 9 days ago

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SIGAR FDD's Long War Journal

Details: Tag Archives: SIGAR Half of Afghan population living in districts outside government control Bill Roggio & Alexandra Gutowski | October 29, 2018. Some 41 percent of the Afghan population resides in a contested district and more than nine percent reside in a Taliban controlled district, according to a new study by FDD’s Long War Journal.

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Resolute Support FDD's Long War Journal

Details: Half of Afghan population living in districts outside government control Bill Roggio & Alexandra Gutowski | October 29, 2018. Some 41 percent of the Afghan population resides in a contested district and more than nine percent reside in a Taliban controlled district, according to a new study by FDD’s Long War Journal.

› Verified 2 days ago

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Taliban doubles number of controlled Afghan districts

Details: The Taliban’s multi-year strategy of gaining influence in rural districts to then pressure the population centers is paying dividends. Prior to the Taliban offensive, which began in earnest on May 1, the date that the U.S. government originally committed to completing its withdraw under the Doha agreement,

› Verified 7 days ago

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Haqqani Network is ‘enemy number one’ in Afghan east

Details: And because of the terrain’s isolating effect, RC East’s estimated population of 7.5 million people is scattered throughout a dizzying number of cities, valleys, villages, and encampments; the five largest population centers vary from 150,000 inhabitants in Jalalabad to only 26,000 in Asadabad.

› Verified 2 days ago

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Iraq’s largest Christian town falls to Islamic State FDD

Details: Qaraqosh (or Bakhdida on the map) has a Chaldean Christian population estimated at 50,000. The Islamic State advanced into the towns unopposed, according to reports. The Peshmerga, which is considered to be a well-organized and hardened force, withdrew from the towns rather than fighting the Islamic State.

› Verified 2 days ago

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DoD releases Afghan district data, continues to withhold

Details: Under intense media pressure, the US Department of Defense relented and released data on controlled and contested districts in Afghanistan that it previously instructed the Special Investigator General for Afghanistan (SIGAR) to withhold from the US public.However, some information – such as population control and other important metrics on the Afghan …

› Verified 9 days ago

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Analysis: The Islamic State’s expansion into Congo’s Ituri

Details: Ituri-based attacks have accounted for 72% of all Islamic State claims in the DRC since June. The ADF’s current Ituri offensive fits into the ADF’s larger expansion in both Ituri and North Kivu in recent years. In utilizing the KST’s data, there has been a stark increase in the group’s frequency of attacks, lethality, and areas of

› Verified 6 days ago

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Terrorists rally in Swat, march through region FDD's

Details: The Malakand Division has a population of more that 4.3 million, according to the 1998 census. The Taliban effectively control the tribal areas (population estimated at 6.5 million in 1998) and many of the bordering districts with millions more.

› Verified 7 days ago

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Taliban battles Afghan military for control of Kandahar

Details: Instead, the U.S. and NATO focused on a population-centric counterinsurgency, which allowed the Taliban to gain control of the rural districts. The Taliban’s strategy is clearly seen in Kandahar province, where the provincial capital is now under direct threat of falling under Taliban control. The Taliban took control of four key districts

› Verified 2 days ago

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General McChrystal’s report on Afghanistan and external

Details: ISAF must focus on securing the population, aiding in providing good governance, building and mentoring the Afghan security forces, and shifting itself away from an excessively defensive posture to enable the troops to engage with the Afghan people. While McChrystal doesn’t say so in this report, he wants more troops.

› Verified 2 days ago

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Taliban encircling Afghan capital Kabul, prepping final

Details: The Taliban abandoned Kabul in Nov. 2001, shortly after the U.S. invasion. The war-torn city’s population was then hovering around 500,000 but has rapidly urbanized in the two decades since, serving as the center for Afghanistan’s growing middle class, and Kabul’s population today is estimated at 4.6 million.

› Verified 7 days ago

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Taliban, Afghan forces battle for control of Helmand’s

Details: The Taliban’s rural insurgency strategy of taking remote districts and pressing to the population centers has been on full display in Helmand. The Taliban took the remote districts of Baghran, Kajaki, Musa Qala, Sangin, Khanishan, Reg, and Dishu over the past several years, and then worked its way inward to contest and eventually control the

› Verified 2 days ago

› Url: https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2021/08/taliban-afghan-forces-battle-for-control-of-helmands-capital.php Go Now

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Taliban squeezes Afghan government by seizing key border

Details: 115. 70. Data compiled by FDD’s Long War Journal. The Taliban’s strategy of seizing rural districts has not only allowed it to surround major cities and put pressure on population centers, it has also enabled it to squeeze the Afghan government’s revenue from goods crossing the border. Bill Roggio is a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for

› Verified 4 days ago

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Kunduz province in danger of falling to the Taliban FDD

Details: The population in Kundoz city continue to suffer because of these large scale Taliban attacks against the city but also wider fighting across Kundoz over the years. — BILAL SARWARY (@bsarwary) June 22, 2021.

› Verified 3 days ago

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Afghan government ‘has lost territory to the insurgency

Details: The Taliban has utilized its control of the rural districts to directly threaten major population centers. Last year, the Taliban was able to threaten five of Afghanistan’s 34 provincial capitals. The government lost control of Kunduz for more than a week last fall. US military underestimates Taliban control and contested districts

› Verified 6 days ago

› Url: https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/02/afghan-government-has-lost-territory-to-the-insurgency.php Go Now

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Afghan Taliban FDD's Long War Journal

Details: Half of Afghan population living in districts outside government control Bill Roggio & Alexandra Gutowski | October 29, 2018. Some 41 percent of the Afghan population resides in a contested district and more than nine percent reside in a Taliban controlled district, according to a new study by FDD’s Long War Journal.

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LWJ Map Assessment: Taliban controls or contests 45% of

Details: According to SIGAR, 2.7% of population live under Taliban controlled areas, 8.4% live under Taliban influenced, and another 29.2% live in contested districts. Keep in mind that contested districts may (and often does) mean …

› Verified 2 days ago

› Url: https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/09/lwj-map-assessment-taliban-controls-or-contests-45-of-afghan-districts.php Go Now

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In fight against Islamic State, the Taliban holds major

Details: The Taliban can muster the resources of all of Afghanistan’s provinces; troops, weapons, ammunition, fuel, food, and other supplies. The Taliban can operate hospitals, recruiting and training centers, and base troops. It can tax the local population and border crossings.

› Verified 6 days ago

› Url: https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2021/11/in-fight-against-islamic-state-the-taliban-holds-major-advantage.php Go Now

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Doku Umarov declares Islamic Caucasus Emirate FDD's Long

Details: The only population that has sustainable and indeed growing birth rates in Russia is Muslim. Also it is believed that the domestic muslim population of Russia has been somewhat radicalised by Chechnya and also Russia has a big problem with nationalist Neo Nazi gangs that target minorities.

› Verified 2 days ago

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Burkina Faso wanted list details Ansaroul Islam network

Details: State responses to these attacks have also further alienated the local population, which helps in jihadist recruitment. A look at select individuals in Burkina Faso’s wanted list: Abdoul Salam Dicko alias Djaffar: Confirmed as the current overall emir of Ansaroul Islam. He is the brother of Ansaroul Islam founder and first leader Ibrahim Dicko.

› Verified 7 days ago

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Analysis: US military strategy in Afghanistan shifts as

Details: The goal would be to protect the population from the QST insurgents. Coalition forces would first clear QST from key population areas. Then ANSF forces would be used to hold the cleared areas and prevent QST insurgents from returning. 2. East. A smaller number of troops would be sent to the East. For the time being, this would be a secondary

› Verified 4 days ago

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Ansaru congratulates the Taliban in Afghanistan, promotes

Details: Ansaru’s most recent film features several small video clips from other ostensibly recent, yet unreleased propaganda productions from the group, which includes appearances by child soldiers and what appears to be the group raising its …

› Verified 2 days ago

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Analysis: US military ends reporting on security situation

Details: In Nov. 2017, General John W. Nicholson Jr., then commander of Resolute Support and U.S. Forces Afghanistan (USFOR-A), said the “most telling” metric for success is “population control” — that is, the percentage of Afghan civilians living in districts dominated by the government, versus those controlled or contested by the jihadists.

› Verified 5 days ago

› Url: https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2019/04/analysis-us-military-ends-reporting-on-security-situation-in-afghanistans-districts.php Go Now

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Jihadist coalition captures checkpoints around city of

Details: The population of Idlib is estimated to be greater than 100,000 people. If the city falls to the jihadists, it will be one of the most significant victories for the anti-Assad rebels, who are not aligned with the Islamic State, since the beginning of the war in Syria.

› Verified 2 days ago

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US government releases data on ‘counterterrorism strikes

Details: Terrorists often operate embedded within the civilian population to mask their activities and provide a civilian shield to discourage airstrikes. Intelligence officials have the unenviable task of attempting to determine if a target location has civilians present, and then must assess the aftermath of a strike in areas that are considered no-go

› Verified 3 days ago

› Url: https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2016/07/us-government-releases-data-on-counterterrorism-strikes-outside-areas-of-active-hostilities.php Go Now

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Islamic State’s Sahara branch claims first attack in

Details: Abu Walid al Sahrawi, when he was a spokesman for the Movement for Oneness and Jihad in West Africa (MUJAO) Islamic State forces loyal to Adnan Abu Walid al Sahrawi, the emir of the Islamic State’s Sahara branch, claimed an attack in Burkina Faso yesterday according to Mauritanian news agency Al Akhbar.The claim, which has not yet been confirmed in a …

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Taliban overruns district in central Afghanistan FDD's

Details: Taliban overruns district in central Afghanistan. The Taliban seized control of the district of Dawlat Shah in the eastern Afghan province of Laghman on May 19. The district is the fourth to fall to the Taliban in the past two weeks and the second in a province that borders Kabul, the ultimate prize for the Taliban in its efforts to reestablish

› Verified 2 days ago

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Analysis: US military grossly underestimates Taliban, al

Details: Complicate that with Afghan/coalition having true security duties being required to conduct more or less static defense and localized deterrent operation against an mobile opponent with no hard infrastructure, no complicated administrative obligations, no restrictive legal oversight, and who lives among the population with very light dependency

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Taliban contest or control large areas of Afghanistan

Details: The Taliban will be resisted by the overwhelming majority of the population who don’t want to be dragged back into the 8th century to live under the boot heels of a bunch of nihilistic tyrants whom are every bit as much interested in their private orgy of power as Hitler, Stalin, Pol Pot, or any other sociopathic power monger.

› Verified 2 days ago

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Analysis: Al Nusrah Front ‘committed’ to Ayman al Zawahiri

Details: Earlier this week, Al Jazeera aired the first part of its interview with Abu Muhammed al Julani, who is the emir of the Al Nusrah Front. Julani stressed that his organization is "committed" to Ayman al Zawahiri's "orders," thereby dispelling erroneous reports that his group was going to "break" with al Qaeda.

› Verified 5 days ago

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Joint al Qaeda and Taliban force behind Nuristan base

Details: The population in Kunar and Nuristan does not remain “openly hostile” to the government and to US forces. In fact, one can’t generalize about “the population” in these areas at all. The population is highly fragmented, both geographically and tribally, and its sentiments and loyalties can vary enormously from town to town.

› Verified 2 days ago

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Taliban controls or contests 70 districts in Afghanistan

Details: Afghanistan’s population (probably, the entire developing world’s population) has increased by 50% since 9-11-2001, which translates into unlimited cannon fodder in low intensity conflicts. Expeditionary forces have limited impact in this new era. Tony says: October 16, 2015 at …

› Verified 8 days ago

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Afghanistan at risk of collapse as Taliban storms the

Details: If the Afghan government loses the north, the Taliban could take the population centers in the south, east, and west without a fight, and begin its siege of Kabul. The Taliban has been especially active in Badakhshan province, which prior to Al Qaeda’s Sept. 11, 2001 attack on the U.S. served as the headquarters to the anti-Taliban Northern

› Verified 1 days ago

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US commander in Afghanistan downplays Taliban control of

Details: “This is a positive in the sense of the majority of the population is under control of the government forces and this primarily the population centers, and so on, and the enemy is primarily in more rural areas that have less impact on the future of …

› Verified 3 days ago

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US military halts release of data on Taliban-controlled

Details: The DoD would not be suppressing information on Taliban district and population control as well as key metrics on the Afghan security forces if the fight was going well. Bill Roggio is a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of …

› Verified 7 days ago

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Analysis: Shiite Pakistani casualties of the wars in Syria

Details: This may reflect the significantly smaller population of Pakistani immigrants residing in Iran, which provides Iranian government agencies with a smaller pool of recruits. In contrast to Shiite Afghan casualties who all serve in the purely Afghan Fatemiyoun Brigade, the Pakistani recruits do not seem to have a brigade of their own.

› Verified 8 days ago

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US pulls out of two Nuristan outposts, hands Taliban

Details: In line with General Stanley McChrystal’s counterinsurgency guidance to pursue a population-centric strategy, ISAF commanders decided last month to reposition forces from remote areas with smaller population densities to population centers within the region. Commanders developed plans for the repositioning; however, as in every conflict

› Verified 2 days ago

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Taliban announces withdrawal from center of Kunduz city

Details: The Taliban admitted earlier today that its forces have withdrawn from the center of Kunduz city. The group still controls all of the surrounding districts, however, meaning the city center is still under threat. While the Taliban portrayed its decision to withdraw as being somewhat altruistic, Amnesty International has accused the group of committing various crimes during its …

› Verified 7 days ago

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Hamza bin Laden calls for regime change in Saudi Arabia

Details: AQAP hosted major rallies in the port city, tried to win the loyalty of the local population and began to implement rudimentary governance. But an Arab-led coalition entered the city in late April 2016. AQAP’s fighters withdrew from Mukalla, suffering only minimal losses.

› Verified 7 days ago

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Taliban seizes another district in western Afghanistan

Details: It would be helpful to know what is the definition of a district, at least the population that is affected by the temporary Taliban takeovers. Ali, perhaps the Taliban should stop launching operations from civilian centers such as hospitals. Secondly, if the Taliban want to minimize civilian casualties then they should stop trying to blend in

› Verified 6 days ago

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Mapping Taliban controlled and contested districts in

Details: Afghanistan is not the US or Germany. Only 28 percent of its people live in cities, while the rural population is 72 percent. Here is one reason why the US never controlled the country – the cities represent only a small part of the population. And the Taliban does control cities now, for example Sangin, Maruf, Waghaz, Rashidan or Sangar.

› Verified 8 days ago

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Taliban overruns another base in north as it withdraws

Details: It isn’t about being liked, it is about being feared. And the Taliban inspire far more fear while demonstrating an esprit de corps of a degree of magnitude greater that the Afghan forces. If you thing clinging to population centers (and poorly at that) is a wise counterinsurgency strategy, you are certainly entitled to your opinion.

› Verified 3 days ago

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Iranian-founded Afghan Shia militia celebrates 7th

Details: The IRGC-sponsored militia primarily recruits from the Hazara population of Afghanistan and Iran. The Hazara are Afghanistan’s largest ethnic minority. Many have fled to Iran to avoid religious persecution in their own war-ravaged country. In Jan. 2019,

› Verified 4 days ago

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Map of Taliban control in Pakistan’s northwest FDD's

Details: Map Last updated March 3, 2010. With the military on the offensive against the Taliban in South Waziristan, Pakistani officials are hopeful that the Taliban will be decisively defeated if the forces of Hakeemullah and Waliur Rehman Mehsud can be destroyed and the government’s writ can be restored in the Mehsud tribal areas.

› Verified 2 days ago

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Islamic State wages desert-based insurgency in Iraq and

Details: Meanwhile, ISIS is attempting to expand its “recruiting pool” in other ways, including by exploiting local grievances and discontent among the population in eastern Syria. This is an issue for America’s main anti-ISIS partner, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).

› Verified 3 days ago

› Url: https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2019/08/islamic-state-wages-desert-based-insurgency-in-iraq-and-syria.php Go Now

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